Reduce Customer Concentration Before a Sale

Quick answer: To reduce customer concentration before a sale, widen the base of customers, extend contracts with the largest accounts, add second and third relationships inside them, and measure price and margin by customer. Buyers credit changes that show in several periods of results. If concentration cannot be fixed in time, the usual answers are deal structure, such as an earnout or holdback tied to the customer, a buyer who values the relationship, and a documented history that explains why the customer stays.

Key points

  • Concentration falls in two ways. Dilution adds business elsewhere, and security lowers the chance that a large account leaves or reprices.
  • Growing the largest account faster than the rest raises concentration, even though revenue rises.
  • Measure concentration in gross profit as well as revenue. An owner who knows margin by customer can show a buyer where the exposure really sits.
  • Do not buy a better ratio with discounts, price concessions or one-off orders. Buyers strip them out and mark the quality of the new revenue down.
  • When concentration cannot be fixed, change the structure of the deal, the choice of buyers or the timing of the launch.

What reducing concentration means to a buyer

Concentration falls in two ways, and a buyer credits both. Dilution lowers the share of revenue and profit held by the largest accounts by adding business elsewhere. Security lowers the chance that a large account leaves or reprices, through contracts, relationships and switching costs. The customer concentration guide explains how buyers measure and price the exposure. This guide covers what an owner can do about it in the period before launch.

Buyers measure on profit as well as revenue, on the trend as well as the level, and on what the contract and the relationship suggest about the customer’s behavior. A plan should therefore leave evidence in each of those places.

Tactics, and when each works

Tactic What the owner does Works when Falls short when
Add customers in the same market Aims sales effort at accounts like the existing mid-size customers The offer already wins at acceptable margin and capacity is free Capacity is full, new accounts arrive at discounts, or the owner must close every deal
Open a second channel or segment Sells the same product to another customer type or region The product fits with little change The channel needs investment that cannot show in results before launch
Extend contracts and renew early Negotiates longer terms, fewer termination rights and clear renewal mechanics The customer values continuity and a volume or pricing discussion is already open The extension is bought with price cuts, rebates or most-favored-customer terms that lower earnings
Add relationships inside large accounts Connects more people on both sides, such as operations, purchasing, engineering and finance The customer has several sites, departments or decision makers A single buyer at the customer guards the relationship
Price and margin by customer Calculates gross profit by customer, then reprices, trims service or stops unprofitable work The data supports a change the customer will accept A price fight pushes the customer to look elsewhere before the sale
Raise switching costs Integrates systems, qualifies products, holds customer-specific tooling, sets service levels The customer’s own process depends on the supplier The advantage rests on one employee’s knowledge, which returns the problem to owner dependence

Most owners need two or three of these, chosen for the accounts that matter. The relationships row connects to reducing owner dependence, since an account held personally by the owner is concentrated twice.

The arithmetic of dilution

Concentration is a ratio, so it falls when the denominator grows and rises when the numerator grows faster. A buyer also reads the period actually billed. New customers count only for the months in which they paid, so the share in the last full year improves more slowly than a run-rate would suggest. The guide to LTM, run-rate and forward EBITDA explains how buyers treat a partial period.

Illustrative example: How diluting and growing the largest account change concentration

A company has $10,000,000 of revenue and $4,000,000 of gross profit. Its largest customer buys $4,000,000 at a 25 percent gross margin, which is $1,000,000 of gross profit. All other revenue earns a 50 percent gross margin. Two plans are compared.

Scenario Revenue Largest customer revenue Share of revenue Gross profit Largest customer gross profit Share of gross profit
Today $10,000,000 $4,000,000 40 percent $4,000,000 $1,000,000 25 percent
Add $2,500,000 from new customers $12,500,000 $4,000,000 32 percent $5,250,000 $1,000,000 19 percent
Largest customer adds $2,000,000 $12,000,000 $6,000,000 50 percent $4,500,000 $1,500,000 33 percent

New customers add $1,250,000 of gross profit at the 50 percent margin, and the extra business from the largest customer adds $500,000 at its 25 percent margin. Revenue grows in both plans, yet the second plan leaves the company more dependent than before. The share of gross profit is lower than the share of revenue in every row because the largest account earns the thinner margin, which is the point of measuring both. The figures are invented to show the mechanics and are not benchmarks.

Documenting the history of the large accounts

The share is a number, and the account file is the argument that the number is safe. Assemble a file for each large customer.

  • Results. Revenue and gross profit by year and by product, tied to the ledger.
  • Contract summary. Term, renewal, termination rights, pricing mechanism, minimum commitments and what happens on a change of ownership.
  • Pricing history. Every increase and every concession, with dates.
  • People. Contacts on both sides and how long each has worked with the other.
  • Losses. Why customers left in the past and what changed afterward.
  • Switching. What it would take the customer to replace the supplier, in qualification, integration and performance history.
  • Satisfaction. Scorecards, volume trends, expansions and any references the customer has agreed to give.

Buyers compare the file with what the customer says on a call, so the two must agree. The customer diligence guide describes how those calls are run. An account file that matches the call turns concentration into a known quantity. One that does not match turns it into a doubt about the owner’s candor, which costs more than the concentration.

When concentration cannot be fixed

Some businesses are concentrated by nature, and some cannot change in time. Three levers remain: structure, buyer selection and timing.

Structure. A buyer worried about one account can tie part of the price to keeping it, through an earnout, a holdback or a closing condition requiring the customer’s consent. A measure tied to that customer’s purchases is narrower than a company-wide profit target, so it exposes the owner only to the risk the buyer is concerned about. The earnout guide covers the trade-offs, and the guide to rollover equity and seller notes covers the alternatives. Propose a version early, because a structure the owner offers is usually narrower than one imposed after diligence.

Buyer selection. A buyer that already sells to or buys from the customer, or one for which the account is a small part of a much larger business, sees the same revenue as less risky. The guide to building a buyer list shows how to find and rank those buyers.

Timing. Waiting for a renewal to be signed, or for new customers to reach a full period of billing, can be worth more than launching now. Weigh that against the risk of a term expiring mid-process, since a renewal date that falls during a sale gives the buyer leverage. Whether and when the customer is told about the sale is a separate and sensitive decision, covered in the guide to telling employees and customers.

Moves that backfire

  • Buying growth with discounts. New customers won on price carry thin margins, and buyers examine margin by group of customers, so the new revenue is marked down. The revenue quality guide explains how buyers grade it.
  • Trading price for contract length. Visibility bought with concessions lowers the earnings the multiple is applied to.
  • Booking one-off orders. Buyers remove them and then wonder what else was added.
  • Shedding the large account. A profitable large customer is usually worth more kept than lost, even at a discount. Dropping it to improve the ratio gives up the profit.
  • Staying silent about it. Buyers find concentration in the first customer file, and the explanation counts for more when the owner offers it first.

Concentration is one of several factors that move price, and the overview of what drives the value of a business places it among the others. The roadmap for preparing a business for sale shows where this work sits in the sequence.

Frequently asked questions

How concentrated is too concentrated to sell a business?

No fixed line exists. Buyers weigh the share of revenue and profit held by the largest customers, the contract, how hard switching would be and what is normal in the industry. A concentrated company can still be sold. It is sold at a discount, with a different structure, or to a buyer that is comfortable with the relationship.

Can customer concentration be reduced quickly?

Partly. Extending a contract, adding second contacts and calculating margin by customer can begin at once. Diluting the share needs new customers to appear in several periods of billing, so it takes longer. A buyer credits what shows in results, which is why the work belongs well ahead of launch.

Should an owner raise prices on the largest customer before selling?

Only after weighing the risk. Higher margin improves earnings, but a price dispute that sends the customer looking elsewhere costs more than the gain. Raise prices where the data supports it and the relationship can bear it, and keep a record of how the customer responded.

What is the best way to explain concentration to a buyer?

Lead with the facts: share of revenue and profit, contract terms, tenure and the account history. Then show the actions taken and their results by period. Buyers react worse to concentration they discover than to concentration they are shown with a plan.

What are the alternatives if concentration cannot be reduced?

Structure, buyer selection and timing. Part of the price can be tied to keeping the customer through an earnout or holdback. Buyers that already deal with the customer may see less risk. Waiting for a signed renewal can improve the owner’s position. Compare the options on proceeds after risk, not headline price.

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Related guides

This guide is general education. It is not a valuation opinion, appraisal, investment advice, or legal or tax advice. How these guides are made.

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